Economics of Climate Change in India
Over the past months there have
been several stories about how extreme weather events have disrupted normal life
in India. The Global Climate Risk Index 2021 had ranked India 7th in the list
of most affected countries in terms of exposure and vulnerability to climate
risk events.
Climate change being one of the
most pressing challenges of the 21st century poses significant risks not only
to the environment, human health and food security, but also economic
development.
How does Climate Change Affect India’s Macroeconomy?
About:
Ø Climate change can adversely affect both the supply side
(the productive potential) and the demand side (the consumption and investment)
of the economy.
Ø It can also have spillover effects across regions and
sectors, as well as cross-border impacts and contagion risks.
Impacts:
Ø Reduced Agricultural Output: Climate change can severely disrupt crop cycles and cause
low agricultural yield due to changes in temperature, precipitation patterns,
pest infestation, soil erosion, water scarcity, and extreme weather events such
as floods and droughts.
o Agriculture, with its allied sectors, is the largest
source of livelihood in India and contributes significantly to the economy. Low
yields can hit the rural economy and push inflation in urban areas as well.
Ø Disruption of the Fisheries Sector: Rising sea surface temperatures due to climate change can
disrupt the distribution and behaviour of fish species.
o Some species may move to cooler waters or shift their
migratory patterns, affecting the availability of fish in certain regions. This
can lead to changes in fish catch composition and abundance, impacting the
livelihoods of fishermen.
Ø Increased Health Costs: Climate change can increase the incidence and severity of
diseases such as malaria, dengue, cholera, heat stroke, respiratory infections,
and mental stress.
o It can also affect the nutrition and well-being of
vulnerable groups such as children, women, elderly, and poor. Health costs can
reduce disposable income, lower labour productivity, and increase public
expenditure.
o According to the WHO, between 2030 and 2050, climate
change is expected to cause approximately 2,50,000 additional deaths per year,
from malnutrition, malaria, diarrhoea and heat stress.
Ø Damaged Infrastructure: Climate change can damage physical infrastructure such as
roads, bridges, railways, ports, airports, power plants, water supply systems,
and buildings due to sea level rise, coastal erosion, landslides, storms,
floods, and heat waves.
o Damaged infrastructure can disrupt economic activity,
trade, and connectivity and increase maintenance and replacement costs.
o For instance, India spent USD 3 bn of economic damage
caused by floods in the last decade which is 10% of the global economic loss.
Ø Reduced Industrial Output: Climate change can increase operational costs and reduce
profits in the industrial sector due to factors such as new climate-friendly
regulations, reduced utilisation of old stock, relocation of production
processes and activities due to climate-related losses.
o India could contribute to 34 million out of 80 million
global job losses due to heat stress-associated productivity decline by 2030.
Ø Energy Crisis: According to the the International Energy Agency (IEA),
India’s primary energy demand will double by 2030.
o Energy and climate share a distinctive relationship such
that rising temperatures demand a surge in energy usage to assist the process
of mitigating the heat effects.
Ø Impact on Financial Services: Climate change can put pressure on financial services due
to increased credit risk for banks and financial institutions. It can affect
borrowers' ability to repay loans due to climate-related events such as floods,
hurricanes, or droughts.
o These events can damage properties, disrupt supply
chains, and impact businesses' profitability, potentially leading to loan
defaults and credit losses.
o
It can also
increase insurance claims and disrupt travel and hospitality services due to
reduced demand, cancellations, and safety concerns.
Reforming UNSC and Bretton Woods
Recently, at a
press conference in Hiroshima, Japan, the UN Secretary-General has called for
reforms in UNSC (United Nations Security Council) and Bretton Woods
Institutions, citing that the current order is outdated, dysfunctional and
unfair.
In the face of the
economic shocks from the Covid-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine Conflict, the
said institutions have failed to fulfil their core function as global safety
nets.
What is the Bretton Woods System?
About:
Ø
The
Bretton Woods system was a monetary framework created in 1944 by
representatives of 44 nations at the Bretton Woods Conference in New Hampshire,
USA. It aimed to establish stability and cooperation in international Monetary
after World War II.
Ø
The
Bretton Woods Agreement created two important organizations—the International
Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank.
Ø
While
the Bretton Woods System was dissolved in the 1970s, both the IMF and World
Bank (Bretton Woods institutions) have remained strong pillars for the exchange
of International Currencies.
Need for Reforming Bretton Woods
Institutions:
Ø
While
these institutions performed well over their first 50 years – they have been
struggling in more recent times as problems of rising inequality, financial instability
and Protectionism have re-emerged.
Ø
The
threat of Climate Change and ecological stress, rising disasters and a more
interconnected world with new threats like cyber-security and pandemics require
a new International Financial Architecture.
Ø
There
has been biases in fund allocation and unregulated Special Drawing Rights
(SDRs), the IMF allocated USD 650 billion in SDRs during the pandemic.
Ø
The G7
countries, with a population of 772 million people, received USD 280 billion.
The African continent, with 1.3 billion people, received only USD 34 billion.
What is the United Nations Security Council?
About:
Ø
The UN
Security Council was established by the UN Charter in 1945 and is one of the 6
principal organs of the United Nations.
Ø
UNSC
has 15 members: 5 permanent members (P5) and 10 non-permanent members elected
for 2-year terms.
Ø
The P5
are: US, Russia, France, China and the UK.
Ø
India
has been a non-permanent member of the Council during 1950-51, 1967-68,
1972-73, 1977-78, l984-85, 1991-92, 2011-12 and for the 8th time, entered the
UNSC in 2021 and was on the council for the term 2021-22.
Issues with the UNSC:
Creating Problems for the Developing Countries:
Ø
Developing
countries are facing problems in three dimensions: Moral, power-related, and
practical.
Ø
A
systemic and unjust bias in global economic and financial frameworks in favour
of rich countries is generating “great frustration in the developing world”.
Limits the Representation:
Ø
The
absence of Africa, as well as countries like India, Germany, Brazil, and South
Africa, from the permanent membership of the UN Security Council is seen as a
significant drawback.
Ø
It
limits the representation of important nations and their perspectives on global
issues, hindering effective decision-making on complex and interconnected
problems.
Misuse of Veto Power:
Ø
The P5
have anachronistic veto power in the UNSC which has faced criticism for being
undemocratic and limiting the Council's ability to make important decisions
when any of the P5 disagrees.
Ø
Many
argue that such elite decision-making structures are not suitable for the
current global security landscape.
What can be done to Address these Issues?
Bretton Woods:
Ø
There
is a need to reshape and revitalize three global institutions -the IMF, WBG and
the WTO (World Trade Organization) where:
Ø
The IMF
will focus on macroeconomic policy and financial stability, with stricter
surveillance of advanced economies and their impact on global crises.
Ø
The
restructured WBG will prioritize sustainability, shared prosperity, and leveraging
private capital effectively. It should work with others to address global
challenges and act as a wholesaler of finance.
Ø
A
stronger WTO is needed for fair trade, faster dispute resolution, and the
ability to respond swiftly to emergencies.
Ø
The system
needs more automatic and rule-based financing mechanisms to avoid delays and
political influences.
Ø
There
needs to be regular calibrated SDR issues, global pollution taxes, and
financial transaction taxes.
Ø
A
well-structured G-20 could provide overarching guidance to the Bretton Woods
system and its interactions with other institutions.
UNSC:
Ø
There
is a need to ensure equal representation for all regions, including Africa,
along with decentralization of power and authority, which will allow nations
from all regions to voice concerns related to peace and democracy in their
countries, making decision-making more representative and democratic.
Ø
The
focus should be on addressing global issues rather than preserving the
privileges of the P5 nations.
Ø
Urgent
correction is needed to balance power between the P5 and the rest of the world,
ensuring a more democratic and legitimate governance of the UNSC for
international peace and security.
Ø
The IGN
(Intergovernmental Negotiation) process, which discusses UNSC reform, should be
revised and re-energized, avoiding procedural tactics that hinder progress.
Forum Shopping
Recently, the Chief Justice of India (CJI) has condemned the practice of Forum Shopping after a litigant mentioned the hearing before CJI although he had mentioned the same case a day before another Judge.
What is the Practice of Forum Shopping?
About:
Ø
Forum
shopping refers to the practice of deliberately choosing a specific court for a
legal case in the hope of getting a favorable outcome.
Ø
Litigants
and lawyers often consider this strategy as part of their litigation plan.
Ø
For
example, they might opt for a higher court like the Supreme Court (SC) to gain
more attention for their case. However, if someone is clearly trying to
manipulate the system or avoid a particular judge, it is seen as unfair.
Ø
Similarly,
“Bench Hunting” refers to petitioners managing to get their cases heard by a
particular judge or bench to ensure a favourable order.
Advantages:
Ø
It can
allow plaintiffs to seek justice and compensation in a court that is more
sympathetic to their claims or interests.
Ø
It can
encourage competition and innovation among courts and judges to improve their
efficiency and quality of service.
Disadvantages:
Ø
Forum
shopping has been criticized by judges because it can lead to injustice for the
opposing party and create an imbalance in the workload of different courts.
Ø
Judges
have cited the overburdening of some courts over others and interfering with
judicial process.
Ø
It can
undermine the authority and legitimacy of courts and judges by creating
perceptions of bias or favoritism.
Ø
It can
increase the costs and complexity of litigation by creating conflicts of laws
and multiple proceedings.
Discouraging Forum Shopping:
Ø
Even
courts in the US and the UK discourage/prohibit forum shopping. In common law
countries, the principle of "forum non-conveniens" is used to prevent
the practice of Forum Shopping.
Ø
Common
Law is a shared British heritage of the U.S., Canada, and the Commonwealth, and
these countries have a legal system primarily based on common law principles.
Ø
This
principle allows a court to refuse its jurisdiction over a case if another
court is more appropriate to hear it. This helps ensure fairness and allocates
cases to the right judicial authorities.
How Does Forum Shopping Affect Justice and the Judicial Process?
Ø
It can
compromise the principle of natural justice, which requires that every person
should have a fair hearing before an impartial tribunal.
Ø
It can
violate the principle of comity, which requires that courts should respect and
defer to each other’s decisions on matters of common interest.
Ø
It can
hamper the principle of finality, which requires that litigation should end at
some point and not be prolonged indefinitely.
What is the SC’s View on Forum Shopping?
Ø
Dr.
Khair-Un-Nisa and Ors vs. UT of Jammu and Kashmir and Ors 2023:
Ø
The
Jammu, Kashmir, and Ladakh High Court imposed costs worth one lakh rupees on
the petitioners for indulging in forum shopping by filing multiple petitions
before different wings of the court, despite having the same cause of action.
Vijay Kumar Ghai vs. State of W.B. 2022:
Ø
The SC
termed forum shopping as a “disreputable practice by the courts” that “has no
sanction and paramountcy in law”.
Dhanwantri Institute of Medical Science vs. The State of Rajasthan
2022:
Ø
The
Rajasthan High Court upheld an order imposing costs worth 10 lakh rupees on a
party for engaging in forum shopping.
Union of India & Ors. vs. Cipla Ltd. 2017:
Ø
The SC
laid down a “functional test” to be adopted for Forum Shopping.
Ø
The
"functional test" laid down by the Supreme Court was to determine
whether a litigant is genuinely seeking justice or engaging in manipulative
tactics through forum shopping.
Rosmerta HSRP Ventures Pvt. Ltd. vs. Govt. of NCT of Delhi & Anr
2017:
Ø
The
Delhi High Court imposed costs on a private company that it found was indulging
in forum hunting in an arbitration matter.
Kamini Jaiswal vs. Union of India 2017:
Ø
The SC
said that “unscrupulous elements” are always on the hunt to find a court or
forum of their choice but are not permitted to do so by law.
Chetak Construction Ltd. vs. Om Prakash 1988:
The Supreme Court
of India' emphasized that litigants should not have the freedom to choose the
court for their convenience. The court stated that any attempt at forum
shopping should be strongly discouraged.
RBI Becomes Net Seller of USD in FY23
Recently, the
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) witnessed a significant shift in its foreign
exchange transactions during the fiscal year 2022-23. After being a net buyer
of the US dollar for three consecutive years, the RBI turned into a net seller,
selling 25.52 billion USD in the spot market.
The spot exchange
is where financial instruments, such as commodities, currencies, and
securities, are traded for immediate delivery.
Why and How did the RBI Turn into a Net Seller in FY23?
Stabilisation of the Rupee:
Ø
The RBI
maintains that its intervention in the foreign exchange market is aimed at
stabilising the rupee's movement.
Ø
The
sale or purchase of dollars by the RBI impacts its profit and is reflected in
dividend payouts to the government.
Ø
Without
the RBI's dollar sales, experts suggest the rupee could have weakened further,
potentially reaching 84-85 levels against the dollar.
Depletion of Forex Reserves and Valuation Losses:
The country's
foreign exchange reserves decreased from $606.475 billion to $578.449 billion
during FY23. This was primarily due to valuation losses resulting from the
appreciating US dollar and higher US bond yields.
Selling of Dollar:
Ø
The RBI
sold significant amounts of dollars in FY23 to counter the rupee's depreciation
resulting from the Ukraine-Russia conflict and the US Federal Reserve's
interest rate hikes.
Ø
The
rupee depreciated by approximately 8% during FY23, with the RBI's intervention
preventing further weakening.
Ø
The
rupee declined from around 76 levels on April 1, 2022, to nearly 82 as of March
31, 2023.
Impact:
The RBI's dollar
sales in FY23 resulted in significant profits, leading to a higher dividend
payout to the government.
The Central Board
of the RBI approved a 188% increase in surplus transfer to the government for the
accounting year 2022-23.
Daily Current Affairs One Liner
Ø FSSAI
stated that it will conduct nationwide surveillance of milk and milk products
to check for adulteration
Ø The
government is scaling up the annual production of SECL's Gevra coal mine to 70
MT making it the largest
Ø In a bid to
address challenges in the ship design and construction industry, defence PSU
Garden Reach Shipbuilders and Engineers Ltd. launched an innovation nurturing
scheme that would help generate a large number of ideas
Ø Central
government formed a steering committee to review and monitor Cheetah
translocation project
Ø Government
will launch a special commemorative coin of Rs 75 to mark the opening of the
new Parliament building
Ø 'Samarth
campaign' has been launched by Shri Giriraj Singh to promote digital
transactions in 50000 Gram Panchayats under Amrit Mahotsav in Lucknow
Ø Central
government signed an agreement with six states to conduct Digital crop survey
Ø Three
Indian peacekeepers were awarded the Dag Hammarskjold Medal by the United
Nations
Ø Kangra tea
of Himachal Pradesh has become the second product after Basmati Rice in the
country to get registered with the European Union (EU) as a protected Geographical
Indication (GI), paving the way for the sale of the product in European
countries
Ø The Emilia
Romagna Grand Prix has been cancelled due to adverse weather in the region
Ø International
Day of Action for Women’s Health is observed annually on May 28
Ø International
Everest Day 2023 is observed on May 29
Ø International
Day of United Nations Peacekeepers is observed every year on May 29
Ø The Reserve
Bank of India (RBI) has imposed a penalty of ₹84.50 lakh on the Central Bank of
India (the bank) for non-compliance with certain provisions of norms related to
fraud classification and reporting.
Ø The Reserve
Bank of India (RBI) has sanctioned the voluntary Scheme of Amalgamation of
Maratha Sahakari Bank with The Cosmos Co-operative Bank.
Ø Insurance
behemoth Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) posted a more than 5-fold
jump in consolidated net profit to ₹13,191 crore for the fourth quarter ended
March 2023.
Ø India's
Finance Ministry has notified a total of 21 nations, investments from which in
Indian start-ups will be exempted from Angel Tax.
Ø The
government capped the amount of interest subvention at Rs 10 crore per IEC
(import-export code) holder in one financial year.
Ø After
Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj’s statue, the bust of freedom fighter Vinayak
Damodar Savarkar also known as Veer Savarkar will be unveiled in the port Luis
capital city Mauritius on May 28,2023 Savarkar’s birth anniversary.
Ø Kangra tea
of Himachal Pradesh (HP) has become the second product after Basmati Rice of the
country to get registered with the European Union (EU) as a protected
Geographical Indication (GI), paving the way for the sale of the product in
European countries.
Ø The
government of Rajasthan has made the decision to promote the usage of
manufactured sand (M-Sand) as an inexpensive and easy alternative to river
sand.
Ø The
National Council of Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) has elected R
Dinesh, executive vice-chairman of TVS Supply Chain Solutions, as the president
of CII for 2023-24.
Ø Harsh Jain,
co-founder and chief executive officer (CEO) of Dream Sports has been elected
as the chairman of the Internet and Mobile Association of India (IAMAI) for the
period of next two years.
Ø The
Competition Commission of India (CCI) approves acquisition of additional Series
E compulsorily convertible preference shares of Acko Technology & Services
Private Limited by Multiples Private Equity Fund III and CPP Investment Board
Private Holdings (4) Inc (CPHI-4).
Ø Iran's
defence ministry unveiled the 4th generation of its Khorramshahr ballistic
missile, with a range of 2,000 kilometres (1,242 miles) and a capacity to carry
warheads weighing over a tonne.
Ø Microsoft
has unveiled a new generative Artificial Intelligence (AI)-driven multilingual
chatbot called 'Jugalbandi', designed for farmers and other users living in
rural India.
Ø IT major
Infosys Ltd launched a platform called ‘Infosys Topaz’ for generative
artificial intelligence (AI).